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3/30/2020

PLEASE ENOUGH HYSTERIA

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This is the headline:
California prepares for coronavirus surge in week ahead
Anticipating a surge in COVID-19 cases this week that may overwhelm healthcare systems
The headline uses the terms surge and overwhelm.  Not sure exactly what message the headline meant to convey, but based on facts to date, the normal implication of those terms would be way overstated. 
This is the story:
The mayor of the nation's second-largest city warned that the coronavirus may become so pervasive, families ought to prepare for how they will isolate themselves at home without infecting others in their households.
Anticipating a surge in COVID-19 cases this week that may overwhelm healthcare systems, Mayor Eric Garcetti urged people who test positive for the coronavirus not to rush to hospitals unless they have serious symptoms. Instead, he asked the city's 4 million residents to think about how they will separate themselves from family members while quarantining at home.
“Don’t just take social distancing seriously, I hope each and every one of us take isolation seriously too,” Garcetti said as he described the strategy as the next phase in the fight against the pandemic.
What I hear Garcetti say, after we move beyond all of the hysteria causing terminology, is to use good common sense.  For instance, if you had contacted the flu, isolate yourself and do not go to the hospital unless you have serious symptoms.    
Monday, March 30, 2020 6:06AM
Here are the current numbers of novel coronavirus cases across Los Angeles County: 2,136 confirmed cases, 37 deaths
10,000,000 plus population.  Please Garcetti, we know you want publicity, but do not alarm people for your own political gain.  There is enough of that happening anyway.
 
This is the headline
CBS News Journalist Maria Mercader Dies at 54 After Testing Positive for Coronavirus
Reading this headline any rational person would conclude that this relatively young and presumably healthy lady caught the virus and died from coronavirus complications.
This is the story:
Mercader had fought multiple health issues for the past two decades, including a bout with cancer, and had been on medical leave prior to the rise of coronavirus in the United States.
The lady was relatively a young lady, but she was in way a healthy lady.  The coronavirus may or may not have been a contributing factor to her death, but so could have the underlying health issues.  Reading the headline and most of the story, the reader would not have known about her health issues. 
 
Here are the latest numbers, four days ago, concerning the flu virus this year.
From the CDC:
CDC estimates that so far this season there have been at least 39 million flu illnesses, 400,000 hospitalizations and 24,000 deaths from flu.
Not one business closed because of it.  Not one extra large pack of toilet paper purchased because of it (well in total candor I do not know if that was an accurate statement or not, probably not,  but the point is that not one extra roll of toilet paper purchased because of media and political hysteria).
 
The wildest and most heinous predictions are given headline news, only to learn from the rest of the story that these outlandish predictions are based on the worst possible factors including if nothing preventive was done. 
 
Some predictions that quite certain.  More people will be deemed to have been infected than are known right now, both because they will catch the virus and because of more testing.  More people will be hospitalized, how many is strictly conjecture.  More people will die from the virus, is strictly conjecture.  The death rate is lower than what is being reported.  This is 100% factual.  That is because we know there are more cases than have been reported that are not used in the mathematical equation.  When we add a greater number to the denominator and keep the numerator the same, the quotient is lower. 

What we do not know is how many more people will die because of the drastic measures taken that have caused complications perhaps way beyond those caused by the virus.  I do not know of a situation where such draconian projections have ever come true.  If we knew more about the Bubonic Plague, perhaps I would have to revise the above statement.  But, in my lifetime, the end of the human race has been predicted before.  Another fact my friends, only ONE knows when the end of the human race will happen and it will not be due to any pandemic or man made occurrence; it will be because the Creator, the ONE, has said humanity will end now.  Some will spend eternity in the presence of the Creator, while the many will spend eternity separated from the Creator.  That is a certainty.  You can print the headline and the story will confirm the headline. 


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  • Home
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