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10/31/2018

POLLS ARE NOW POLITICAL TOOLS AND NOT RELIABLE INDICATORS

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Over the last couple of election cycles, we have learned that polling results are manipulated to attempt to create a political outcome as opposed to predict a political outcome.  This is not just happening in the United States but seems to be worldwide where polling is common.  I have followed the polling results of different international elections and have seen the same results.  Recent examples would be the elections in the United Kingdom for both the Scottish Independence vote and the more recent Brexit vote. 
 
We have seen the same thing occurring in the United States, not just for the presidential election of 2016, but also for elections prior.  Listening to those who do polling and those who are critics of pollsters, we who are political junkies can seem to come to a few conclusions:
It is the intent of the pollsters to mislead for political purposes.
Polling has become much more difficult with the wide spread use of cell phones and many people not answering calls from numbers they do not recognize.
The public intentionally deceives the pollsters.
 
This political junkie has become even more confused this year.  I thought I had become somewhat adept at interrupting the polls based on who was doing the polling.  The swings this year and discrepancies between different polls have become virtually impossible to interpret.  I have seen reported swings by as much as ten points with in less than a 10-day period.  If these huge swings were isolated situations, perhaps they would make sense, but the are becoming more and more common. 
 
Being a political junkie, I have tried to gauge my understandings on those polls who have shown some constituencies and have found only one consistent gauge.  With that particular gauge I have learned that it is consistently wrong, and the more definite it becomes the greater the likelihood that exactly the opposite will happen.
 
Based on that gauge, it would appear that the blue tsunami became a blue wave and is now a blue undertow and the blue tsunami has created a red wave.  I will tell you the late evening of November 6 or the early morning of November 7 if the predictions of Comrade Pelosi are once again consistent. 
 
Marxist/Progressive (Democrat) Pelosi said that she’s more confident about the midterms for Marxist/Progressives (Democrats) than ever before and said that “we will win.”
 
Asked how she could be so sure, the California Marxist/Progressive (Democrat) said, “We’re just walking precincts and if everyone votes, we’ll have even a bigger victory. But Marxist/Progressives (Democrats) will carry the House. If we have a bigger victory, the Senate, governorship's, it’s going to be a great night for America.”
 
Don’t forget that a couple of weeks ago Pelosi told fellow Marxist/Progressives (Democrats) to follow their golden rule and tell the American people whatever you had to tell them to win.  Deceit and lies are great if it brings victory.  After all, never forget that the “ends justify the means.”
 
This is what Pelosi said about the 2016 races:
 
Marxist/Progressive (Democrat) Pelosi said she is becoming increasingly optimistic that the Marxist/Progressive (Democrat) Party might take back the House of Representatives in November. They’ll need to flip 30 seats controlled by the Republicans to do so.
 
“I thought in December I would’ve told you we’d win 20 seats, left to our own devices,” Pelosi said in an interview. “(But) seeing the behavior of the [GOP] presidential candidates right after that when the debates [happened], I became even more optimistic because they were so pathetic. … Since then, I think anything is possible.” 
 
Most observers think Marxist/Progressives (Democrats) are unlikely to flip the House. But Pelosi suggested a Hillary Clinton landslide might carry House Marxist/Progressives (Democrats) to power with her.
 
“If Hillary were to win 54-46, oh my God. It’s all over. If it's 53-47, and I think that’s in the realm of possibility ... that’s a big deal,” Pelosi said. “Five or more [percentage points] is a big deal.”
 
Pelosi’s projections might sound optimistic, but they’re not that far outside the mainstream.  Geoffrey Skelley, a political analyst at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, offered a similar theory.
 
Thank you, Pelosi.  Let us hope you remain a blind prophet so American can continue its march back to freedom and prosperity.


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  • Home
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